Why This Hurricane Season Has Defied Forecasts—So Far

9/10/24

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from The Wall Street Journal,
9/10/24:

the first tropical storm to form in four weeks—is expected to bring dangerous winds, storm surge and heavy rainfall to the Texas and Louisiana coasts by Wednesday, breaking a dry spell that has puzzled forecasters.

Federal officials had warned the nation to expect a record-breaking Atlantic hurricane season with up to 25 named storms. In June, Hurricane Beryl became the earliest Category 5 storm. By mid-August, conditions shifted.

Unexpected weather patterns offset warm ocean temperatures and favorable winds that were supposed to create a blockbuster hurricane season. The lengthy pause in tropical storms hasn’t been seen since 1968.

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