After years of Democratic dominance, Nevada could be slipping from Biden’s grasp
For nearly two decades, Nevada was one of the most promising opportunities for Democrats on the battleground map — an epicenter of labor power with a youthful, highly diverse population that held many of the elements of a winning Democratic coalition. Cut through the 2024 election noise. Get The Campaign Moment newsletter. But at a time of deep frustration about housing costs, inflation and gas prices, recent polls suggest that Nevada could be slipping from President Biden’s grasp — highlighting his broader struggles to win over younger voters, Hispanics and Americans without a college degree. No Republican presidential candidate has won Nevada since George W. Bush in 2004, but Democratic margins have narrowed in recent presidential elections. In 2020, Biden defeated Trump by fewer than 34,000 votes, or 2.4 percentage points. Now, the latest New York Times/Siena College poll shows a dramatically altered political landscape for Biden in the Silver State. In a theoretical six-way matchup that included third-party candidates, Trump led with 41 percent support among registered Nevada voters, while Biden won the backing of 27 percent. In a head-to-head matchup, Trump was supported by 50 percent of voters to Biden’s 38 percent.
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