The November Numbers Game
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There are 332 million Americans. Of that, roughly 75% are eligible to vote. Only 50% are actually registered to vote. On average between midterm and presidential elections, only 40% of the 332 million go vote. A presidential year may swing up to about 47%, and a midterm may swing down to 33%. The average is about 40%.
Of the 40% of Americans who vote, are registered to vote and who do vote, you need 21% to win.
But of that 40%, about 13% will vote Democrat in every case and 12% will vote Republican in every case. It varies by state, but generally, the GOP and Democrats are at parity in the nation now.
That leaves 15% of Americans who really shape the election.
Four percent of Americans are single-issue voters.
That leaves 11% of Americans to decide the election. Of that 11%, you have to get the votes of 5.51% of those Americans.
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