Democrats’ Path to a November Majority Has Hurdles

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By Gerald F. Seib,

from The Wall Street Journal,

Strong economic news and polling on GOP tax cut could impede the blue wave.

Democrats figure to have a good day Tuesday in Pennsylvania. They’ll either win or come close to winning a special election for an open House seat, in a district that President Donald Trump carried by 20 percentage points and that should be a lock for the Republicans.

Democrats will take that as a sign that they are well-positioned to win back control of the House this year, and maybe the Senate, because they have well-funded candidates, a party base highly motivated by disdain for the president, and a key constituency in suburban women moving their way. That’s all true.

But November’s midterm elections are eight months away, a lifetime in modern politics. And as they ride into the sunset Tuesday, Democrats also ought to be concerned about some warning signs out on the horizon. Here are a few:

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