Trump Poll Bounce Rattles Experts

7/25/16
 
   < < Go Back
 
from Rush Limbaugh,
7/25/16:

Trump got a convention bounce and it’s a big one, a six-point convention bounce. Now, if you look at Real Clear Politics average of polls, you don’t see six points, because those polls — the average of those polls — consist of a number of days before the convention added to the days of and after the convention. But if you take out the days leading up to the convention — just look at the polling data that comes from the convention and after it — it’s a huge, six-point convention bump. Now, you might say, “Well, that’s no big deal. That’s no big deal, Rush! Every candidate gets a convention bounce.” That’s the thing: That hasn’t been the case in a long time. Let’s go to none other than CNN for the details.

“Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. …

“There hasn’t been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN’s polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to” the Florida recount, the aftermath, and Supreme Court decision. There haven’t been convention bounces.

Obama didn’t get one in 2008. Bush didn’t get one in 2004. Nobody got one in 2004, 2008, or 2012. So this is the first convention bounce in the CNN poll — Trump got it — since 2000. That’s CNN, and this… Believe me. Don’t doubt me on this. Despite the smiling and attempts at everything’s okay and all is normal that you’re seeing from Democrats this week, they’re worried. They are panicked. Because Trump was supposed to be nowhere near Hillary. Trump was not supposed to be close, much less leading.

More From Rush Limbaugh: