Republicans
Republican lost the House in 2018 due to reactions to Donald Trump and the overhanging Mueller Russia investigation. In 2020 Republicans lost the Presidency to Joe Biden in a hotly disputed election result fraught with voter fraud allegations. After a runoff of 2 seats in Georgia in January, 2021, Republicans lost the Senate (50-50). With the Presidency and both houses of Congress now lost, concerns over the integrity of our elections, and Democrats threatening to change election laws, abolish the Electoral College and pack the Supreme Court, Republicans fear for the future of the country that they will never win another election. The previous decade, Republicans won the House in 2010 mid-term election, retaining the House in 2012 and claiming the Senate in the 2014 mid-terms. The Republicans continued their climb back to power in 2016 by retaining the House and Senate and adding the Presidency as Donald Trump won a resounding electoral college victory claiming 30 states. Though he lost the popular vote, President Trump moved into 2017 with a populist victory, a conservative agenda and control of the Congress to roll back President Obama's liberal policies.
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Post election mail in voting wave of 2020, becomes pre-election early voting wave of 2022

11/9/22
from The Gray Area:
11/9/22; updated 11/11/22:
The 2022 midterm red wave subsided before it reached shore. The results in the House & Senate are still not known a full day later.  That, in and of itself, is a message on the state of our republic. So, what happened?  Was it just that the pollsters were wrong, again? Well, yes, but we know that in every election.  Polls are not shaped to report the political mood, but to shape it.  CBS put out an exit poll today that said issues important to Pennsylvania voters were 'abortion' and 'saving our democracy'.  Perfect alignment with the political narratives of the left.  Is that because their feelings are in perfect alignment, or that the poll was constructed to get that result?    I think it boils down to this:
  • Who's on your team?
    • Democrats promoting MAGA candidates in primaries.
      • A very smart, but sleasy.  Promoted Republican candidates that fed into Democrat political narratives so they could attack them, thus proving their narratives about a 'threat to democracy' were true, which they are not.
    • Even Republican establishment not supporting MAGA candidates,  supporting weak or Democrat party candidates, like the Mitch McConnell fund.
  • State election processes not repaired since 2020.
    • Pennsylvania has basically the same voting processes that caused problems in 2020.  The state legislature and the state supreme court fought over changes and finally did virtually nothing.  Michigan, Nevada, Arizona and others are in the same boat. Texas, Florida, Georgia, Ohio and other states interested in election integrity fixed their election process issues and their results are flowing smoothly.

    • Maricopa County, Arizona, officials apologize for vote tabulator problems, say 7% of ballots affected. Maricopa County Supervisor said he expects 95%-99% of votes to be counted by Friday.

    • <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">DUDE <a href="https://t.co/rXmze5xtIf">https://t.co/rXmze5xtIf</a></p>&mdash; Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) <a href="https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1589992245381726214?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 8, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
  • Pre-election voting replaced ballot harvesting and post-election voting.
    • We are all concerned about the open opportunity to cheat that exists with wide spread mail out voting, where unverified voter registration lists are mailed out. Then return of these ballots can be allowed to be counted 10- 14 days after the election, without signature or other validation. This outsized post election wave of ballots was replaced this time with outsized pre-election early voting.  Is there a problem here, too?  Don't know. 
  • And, as always, the legacy media. 
    • Before & after the election, pushing Democrat narratives, pushing abortion narratives, pushing the insurrection narrative, and pushing the Donald Trump threat. Even some right wing media like this narrative.
    • Republicans fight back with nothing, as regards truthful messaging.
    • And, ever so transparently reacting to the DeSsntis landslide in Florida.  Instead of doing a journalist's job and  analyzing how he got so many Democrat, Independent, and Hispanic votes, they discuss "what this portends"! oooohhh....
The results of this midterm will drag on another month until the runoff in Georgia. Which way will the Libertarian candidates 3% go in the runoff? Will the election integrity in Georgia so far hold up?  Will the media repetition of narratives win the day? Will the Trump announcement on Nov 15th make things better or worse for Republicans and Democrats? Here we go again.


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